Open Journal of Mathematical Analysis
ISSN: 2616-8111 (Online) 2616-8103 (Print)
DOI: 10.30538/psrp-oma2019.0038
A mathematical model for fish management in the Sundarbans ecosystem
Department of Mathematics, University of JU, Savar, Dhaka, Bangladesh.; (M.M.H & M.H.A.B)
Department of Mathematics, KU, Khulna, Khulna, Bangladesh.; (S.U)
\(^1\)Corresponding Author: nazmulmaths@gmail.com
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
This study analyzes fishery management in contest of an endangered predator population competing with human being for commercially important prey. In earlier studies, natural predators were implicitly incorporated in the fishery model. We, however, explicitly model the predator-prey relationship thinking that endangered predators can also be found in many fisheries where the expansion of the predator population and the rate of harvesting are necessary. Traditionally it is impossible to control the predator population when they are endangered. We focus on harvesting control effort over the habitat of preys for maintaining the predator-prey relationship and protected the economic importance of the fishery.
Brauer et al. in [1] and Myerscough et al. in [2] studied a general model of prey-predator interaction under constant harvesting and developed the dynamics model of harvesting. Dai et al. in [3] gave complete mathematical analysis of a prey-predator model with Holling Type I predator response Holling, [4], where both the interacting species are independently harvested. Azar et al. [5] made a comparative study between constant catch and constant harvesting effort in a prey-predator model and examined a few significant phenomena such as a constant catch on the predator may destabilize a system that is stable when a constant harvesting effort is applied. Recently, Kar et al. [6] presented a mathematical model of non selective harvesting model in a prey-predator fishery. In their work [7] they have described taxation as a control tool in their model.
Extensive and unregulated harvest of marine fishes can lead to the depletion of several fish species. Several fish species can be depleted by irrational and un regulated harvesting of marine fishes. A possible solution to these problems is to create of marine reserves restricting fishing and other related activities. This study is the modified model of Dubey et al. [8] and to analyze the optimal harvesting policy.
2. Mathematical model formulation
In a two-patch environment, we consider the following predator-prey system:Table 1. Description of state variables and parameters.
Parameter | Description |
---|---|
\(r_1\) and \(r_2 \) | Intrinsic growth rates prey in the unreserved and reserved area |
\(k_1\) and \(k_2\) | Environmental carrying capacity unreserved and reserved area respectively |
\(\epsilon\) | dispersal rate |
\(E\) and \(q \) | Harvesting effort and catchability coefficient |
\(\gamma\) and \(\delta_3\) | Predator death rate and intra specific competition coefficients |
3. Preliminary results
3.1. Boundedness
Now easily we can show that all solutions of system (1) -(3) are uniformly bounded.Theorem 1. All the solutions \((x(t),y(t),z(t))\) of the system (1) -(3) in \(\mathbb{R}_+^3\) are bounded.
Proof. To prove the theorem, we consider the following function $$w(t)=\frac{c_1}{\alpha_1}x(t)+\frac{c_2}{\alpha_2}y(t)+z.$$ Therefore, time derivative is found to be
Therefore, we take \(v>0\) such that $$\frac{dw}{dt}+\mu w\le v.$$ Using the theory of differential inequalities developed by Birkhoff et al. in [9] we obtain,
3.2. Dissipativeness
Theorem 2. If \( r_2\ge\epsilon\) then the system (1) -(3) is dissipative.
Proof. By usual straight forward arguments, we can show that the solution of the system (1) -(3) always exists and is positive, In fact from the Equations (1) -(3) of the model system that \(lim_{t\to\infty} x(t)\le 1\) from Equations (2) we notice that \(\dot y=r_2y(1-\frac{y}{k_2})+\epsilon(x-y)-\alpha_2yz\le y(r_2-\epsilon).\) By similar arguments, we have, \(lim_{t\to\infty} y(t)\le(r_2-\epsilon)=\bar{y}\) where \(\bar{y}\) denotes an upper bound of \(y(t)\) which will be positive if \(r_2>\epsilon.\)
4. Equilibria analysis
Theorem 3. The possible steady states of the system of Equations (1) -(3) are:
- Trivial equilibrium point \(E_0(0,0,0)\),
- Axial equilibrium point \(E_1(x_1,y_1,0),\)
- Interior equilibrium point \(E^*(x^*,y^*,z^*).\)
Proof.
- Trivial equilibrium point always exists.
- We get from (1) -(3)
\begin{eqnarray} &&r_1x\left(1-\frac{x_1}{k_1}\right)+\epsilon(y_1-x_1)-qEx_1=0, \label{model-2-eq7} \end{eqnarray}(7)\begin{eqnarray} &&r_2y_1\left(1-\frac{y_1}{k_2}\right)+\epsilon(x_1-y_1)=0, \label{model-2-eq8} \end{eqnarray}(8)\begin{eqnarray} &&c_1x+c_2y=0. \label{model-2-eq9} \end{eqnarray}(9)
- We get from (1) -(3)
\begin{eqnarray} &&r_1x^*\left(1-\frac{x^*}{k_1}\right)+\epsilon(y^*-x^*)-\alpha_1x^*z^*-qEx^*=0, \label{model-2-eq10} \end{eqnarray}(10)\begin{eqnarray} &&r_2y^*\left(1-\frac{y^*}{k_2}\right)+\epsilon(x^*-y^*)-\alpha_1y^*z^*=0, \label{model-2-eq11} \end{eqnarray}(11)\begin{eqnarray} &&z^*(-\gamma-\delta z^*)+c_1x^*+c_2y^*=0, \label{model-2-eq12} \end{eqnarray}(12)
5. Stability analysis
5.1. local stability
Now, we investigate the local asymptotically stability of the model (1) -(3) around the feasible equilibrium points.5.1.1. Stability for \(E_0\)
$$\lambda[\lambda^2-(r_1+r_2-2\epsilon-qE)\lambda+(r_1-qE)(r_2-\epsilon)-r_2\epsilon]=0.$$ The equilibrium point \(E_0\) is a saddle point with locally stable manifold in \(xy\)- plane and with locally unstable manifold in \(z\)-direction if $$\frac{1}{q}\left(r_1+r_2-2\epsilon\right)< E< \frac{r_1r_2-(r_1+r_2)\epsilon}{q(r_2-\epsilon)}.$$5.1.2. Stability for \(E_1\)
The characteristic equation for \(E_1\) is given by $$\lambda\left[\lambda^2+\left\{\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\big(\frac{x}{y}+\frac{y}{x}\big)\right\}\lambda+\frac{r_1x}{k_1}\left(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y}\right)+\frac{r_2y^2}{xK_2}\right]=0.$$ Therefore, \(E_1\) is a saddle point with locally stable manifold in \(xy\)- plane and with locally unstable manifold in the \(z\)-direction.5.1.3. Stability for \(E_2\)
The characteristic equation for \(E_2\) is given by5.2. Global stability analysis
From the point of view of ecological managers it may be found an equilibrium point where the model system is globally asymptotically stable in order to plan harvesting strategy and keep sustainable ecological development. Therefore, in the interior equilibrium point \(E^*(x^*,y^*,z^*)\), we have discussed the global stability.Theorem 4. The model system (1) -(3) is globally asymptotically stable in the positive equilibrium point \(E^*(x^*,y^*,z^*)\) if \(\epsilon\big(\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1}{x^*}}-\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_2}{y^*}}\big)^2< 2\sqrt{\sigma_1\sigma_2\frac{r_1r_2}{k_1k_2}}.\)
Proof. Using the standard Lyapunov function we have,
6. Bionomic equilibrium and and optimal harvesting policy
The bionomic equilibrium is said to be achieved when the total revenue is earned by the difference of pricing and harvesting cost. Let us consider the constant fishing cost per unit effort is \(c\) and the constant price per unit landed fish in the open access area is \(p\). Therefore, the economic rent is given as follows- \(E=E_{max}\) when \(\mu(t)>0\) i.e., when \(\lambda_1(t)e^{\sigma t}< p-\frac{c}{qx};\)
- \(E=0\) when \(\mu(t)< 0\) i.e., when \(\lambda_1(t)e^{\sigma t}>p-\frac{c}{qx};\)
\(D^3-[\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon(\frac{x}{y}+\frac{y}{x})+\delta z]D^2+[\big(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y}+\delta z\big)\{\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\epsilon(\frac{y}{x}+\frac{c_1}{c_2})\}+\{\delta(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})\}+\alpha_1c_1x+\alpha_2c_2y-\epsilon\delta\frac{c_1}{c_2}\}z-\epsilon\frac{c_1}{c_2}(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})-\epsilon^2]D-[\{\delta z(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})+\alpha_2c_2yz\}\{\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\epsilon(\frac{y}{x}+\frac{c_1}{c_2})\}+\{\frac{c_1}{c_2}(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})+\epsilon\}(\alpha_1c_2x-\epsilon\delta)z]=Me^{\sigma t},\)
where \(M=-pqE[\sigma^2+\sigma(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})(1+y)+(\delta^2+\alpha_2c_2y)z]\). The auxiliary equation is
\(m^3-[\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon(\frac{x}{y}+\frac{y}{x})+\delta z]m^2+[\big(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y}+\delta z\big)\{\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\epsilon(\frac{y}{x}+\frac{c_1}{c_2})\}+\{\delta(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})\}+\alpha_1c_1x+\alpha_2c_2y-\epsilon\delta\frac{c_1}{c_2}\}z-\epsilon\frac{c_1}{c_2}(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})-\epsilon^2]m-[\{\delta z(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})+\alpha_2c_2yz\}\{\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\epsilon(\frac{y}{x}+\frac{c_1}{c_2})\}+\{\frac{c_1}{c_2}(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\}\frac{x}{y})+\epsilon(\alpha_1c_2x-\epsilon\delta)z]=0.\nonumber \)
Consider the root of the above equation are \(m_1, m_1\) and \(m_3\), then the general solution becomes \(\lambda_1(t)=A_1e^{m_1t}+A_2e^{m_2t}+A_3e^{m_3t}+\frac{M}{N}e^{-\sigma t},\) where
\(N=-\sigma^3-[\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon(\frac{x}{y}+\frac{y}{x})+\delta z]\sigma^2+[\big(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon(\frac{x}{y}+\delta z\big)\{\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\epsilon(\frac{y}{x}+\frac{c_1}{c_2})\}+\{\delta(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})\}+\alpha_1c_1x+\alpha_2c_2y-\epsilon\delta\frac{c_1}{c_2}\}z-\epsilon\frac{c_1}{c_2}(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})-\epsilon^2]\sigma-[\{\delta z(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})+\alpha_2c_2yz\}\{\frac{r_1x}{k_1}+\epsilon(\frac{y}{x}+\frac{c_1}{c_2})\}+\{\frac{c_1}{c_2}(\frac{r_2y}{k_2}+\epsilon\frac{x}{y})+\epsilon\}(\alpha_1c_2x-\epsilon\delta)z]\ne 0.\)
The shadow price \(\lambda_1(t)e^{\sigma t}\) remains bounded as \(t\to \infty\) if and only if \(A_1=A_2=A_3=0\) and then \(\lambda_1(t)e^{\sigma t}=\frac{M}{N}=\text{constant.}\) Now substituting \(\lambda_1(t)\) in (19) we get,
7. Numerical simulation
Analytical studies can never be completed without numerical verification of the derived results. In this section, we present computer simulations of some solutions of the system (1) -(3). Beside verification of our analytical findings, these numerical simulations are very important from practical point of view. We use four different set of numerical values for support of analytical results mentioned in Table 2.Table 2. Set of parameter values for numerical simulations; \(S\equiv \)Parameter sets.
\(r_1\) | \(r_2\) | \(k_1\) | \(k_2\) | \(\epsilon\) | \(\alpha_1\) | \(\alpha_2\) | \(\gamma_1\) | \(\delta\) | \(c_1\) | \(c_2\) | \(E\) | \(q\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(3\) | \(1.5\) | \(50\) | \(40\) | \(0.5\) | \(0.2\) | \(0.2\) | \(0.6\) | \(0.05\) | \(0.03\) | \(0.04\) | \(2\) | \(0.01\) |
Figure 1. Stability behaviour of model the system around the equilibrium position \(E_*\) with the initial conditions and the set of parameter values \(S\),
(a) Time series (b) Phase portrait.
8. conclusion
This research deals with the harvesting problem in a prey-predator fishery model the reserved zone for prey species in the Sundarban. The positive steady state of both local and global stability has been established. To get global stability, it is necessary that the dispersal rate to be bounded above by related constant. In the exploited model system, we have examined the possibilities of the existence of bionomic equilibria. By using Pontryagin's maximum principle, we have optimized the harvesting policy. We have found that the shadow prices satisfy the transversality condition when they are constant. The total user cost of harvest per unit effort is equal to the steady state effort. We have shown that zero discounting maximizes the economic revenue and that an infinite discount rate is completely dissipate.Author Contributions
All authors contributed equally to the writing of this paper. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.Competing Interests
The author(s) do not have any competing interests in the manuscript.References
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